- Bitcoin (BTC) down 6.8 percent
- Systemically stable, BTC prices will continue to fluctuate thanks to Nakamoto trade-off
Price fluctuation is synonymous with Bitcoin. Drastic rise and falls of the tail end of this week differentiated the world’s most valuable asset from fiat. All the same, it is gradually morphing into a store of value and a settlement layer making it invaluable. Even so, prices are susceptible and could slide to $9,500 or lower in days ahead.
Bitcoin Price Analysis
Cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin, in particular, are counter products of the current financial systems. Systemically, fiat currencies are unstable. Factoring the damage of the Great Financial Crisis, Satoshi Nakamoto created an alternative coin.
According to analysts, Bitcoin is loop-sided and seeking to address one pressing need that is not inbuilt in traditional financial systems. Always maneuvering and creating anti-dotes to resolve arising concerns addressing risks of fluctuating demand for cash, fiat systems are stable from the pricing point of view. That is why currencies as the USD and even the Euro are reserve currencies because of their limited price fluctuations.
Enter Bitcoin. Governed by mathematics, the world’s most valuable digital asset is impervious to third-party breaches. Secure and attractive because of the increasing awareness amongst the masses and unrivaled levels of decentralization, the Bitcoin network is an overwhelming success.
However, it appeared as if Satoshi’s architecture prioritized a stable underlying network over the state of the asset prices. It was a trade-off, and it will continue as long as Bitcoin as a system is without a central authority.
Emerging coins as Facebook’s Libra, on the other hand, introduces price stability. Vital as they are, they are susceptible to the systemic flaws to fiat systems thanks to their pegging.
Overly, BTC prices are all over the place. Cooling off and retracing from this week’s high, bears could force liquidation in days ahead. Unattractive at it may seem, this correction is necessary and to some degree inevitable. It is easy to see why.
BTC has been on a roll. Evident from the chart are peaking prices where bulls are still in control. As a result of this overview, $11,200 is reliable support. All that is needed is a firm slide and close below this mark as a correction of the over-extension of June 26.
Any firm close with high trading volumes confirms the double bar bear reversal pattern of June 26-27 setting the pace for $9,500 and even $7,500 assuming the retracement is deep.
Leading this trade plan is June 27 bear bar. Accompanying trade volumes are light at 77k versus 82k of June 26. Therefore, for trend bull trend resumption, upswings above June 26 high must be with high participation ideally exceeding 82k.
Chart courtesy of Trading View. Image Courtesy of Shutterstock
Author: Dalmas Ngetich